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Unleashing India’s Progress Potential | Largely Economics

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April 25, 2023
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Unleashing India’s Progress Potential

New IMF working paper by Shinya Kotera and TengTeng Xu:

This paper goals to investigate the drivers of India’s development and potential development. There are three foremost goals. First, this paper examines the position of labor, capital, human capital, and TFP in explaining India’s development up to now 50 years and attracts a comparability with different fast-growing economies. Second, this paper estimates the influence of the pandemic on potential development, and initiatives potential development within the medium time period, accounting for the influence of the pandemic by totally different channels. Third, this paper considers each baseline and upside eventualities of mediumterm potential development. Within the upside state of affairs, structural reforms play an vital supporting position to unleash India’s development potential.

Which elements have led to development over 50 years:

…paper exhibits that India’s development was primarily pushed by labor within the Nineteen Seventies and 80s. Capital was the important thing driver within the 90s and 2000s, with TFP development choosing up up to now decade or so earlier than the latest development slowdown. General, India has made vital progress in accumulating productive bodily capital over the previous few many years, which has been essential in supporting its financial development and transformation. This paper finds that whereas the pandemic might result in some medium-term opposed influence on potential development, a profitable implementation of structural reforms might greater than offset the influence of the pandemic and supply assist to potential development over the medium time period.

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